Building Wealth

For the first 30 or so years of working, saving and investing, you’ll be first in the mode of getting out of the hole (paying down debt), and then building your net worth (that’s wealth accumulation.). But don’t forget, wealth accumulation isn’t the ultimate goal. Decumulation is! (a separate category here at the Hub).

Updating the Canadian wide-moat portfolio

Posted By |

 

By Dale Roberts, cutthecrapinvesting

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

It’s a trade-off. I hold a concentrated portfolio of Canadian stocks. What I give up in greater diversification, I gain in the business strength and potential for the companies that I own to not fail. They have wide moats or exist in an oligopoly situation. For the majority of the Canadian component of my RRSP account I own 7 companies in the banking, telco and pipeline space. I like to call it the Canadian wide moat portfolio.

(updated August 24, 2022) Like many Canadian investors I discovered over the years that my Canadian stocks that pay very generous dividends were beating the performance of the market. You’ll find that market-beating event demonstrated by the Beat The TSX Portfolio. Eventually, I moved to the stock portfolio approach.

Over longer periods you’ll see that BTSX beat the TSX 60 by 2% annually or more. And as always, past performance does not guarantee future returns.

For the bulk of my Canadian contingent I hold 7 stocks.

Canadian banking

Royal Bank of Canada, Toronto-Dominion Bank and Scotiabank.

Telco space

Bell Canada and Telus.

Pipelines

Canada’s two big pipelines are Enbridge and TC Energy (formerly TransCanada Pipelines).

My followers on Seeking Alpha or Cut The Crap Investing readers will know that I also own Canadian energy producers, gold stocks and gold price ETFs (holding gold) and the all-in-one real asset ETF from Purpose. I also own Canadian bonds and bitcoin.

For the U.S. component there is a basket of U.S. stocks. Here’s an update of our U.S. stock portfolio. That portfolio continues to provide impressive market-beating performance.

We hold our cash with EQ Bank.

The performance update to August 2022

Here’s the Canadian wide moat 7 from 2014 vs the TSX Composite, to the end of July 2022. I slightly overweight to the telcos and banks. The portfolio for demonstration purposes is rebalanced every year. When reinvesting I usually throw money at the most beaten-up stock. That would be a reinvestment strategy that seeks value and greater income, the general approach of the Beat The TSX Portfolio.

2021 was a very good year for the wide moat portfolio. It beat the TSX, but did underperform the Beat The TSX Portfolio model and Vanguard’s High Dividend ETF (VDY). The outperformance of the Wide Moat 7, over the market, is accelerating in 2022.

In 2022 the Canadian Wide Moat 7 is up 1.14%. The TSX Composite is down 5.56%. For the record, the Vanguard High Dividend (VDY) is up 2% in 2022 to the end of July.

Charts courtesy of Portfolio Visualizer

Annualized returns and volatility

The Canadian Wide Moat 7 has delivered greater total returns and with less volatility and less drawdowns in corrections. The market beat is somewhat consistent with the Beat The TSX Portfolio beat of over 2% per year.

And of course the portfolio dividend income is more than impressive. I did not create portfolio exclusively based on the generous and growing income, but it is a wonderful by-product. The following is based on a hypothetical $10,000 portfolio start amount. The starting yield is above 4%, growing towards a 10% yield (on cost) based on the 2014 start date.

In the above, the dividends are reinvested. For example, the Telus dividend is reinvested in Telus. While I will take a total return approach for retirement funding, the generous portfolio income contribution will add a dimension that will help reduce the sequence-of-returns risk. I am in the semi-retirement stage.

Performance update to the end of May 2022

In this chart I begin with the inception date of the Vanguard High Yield VDY, 2013. We see the Canadian Wide Moat 7 vs VDY and the TSX Composite – XIC.

The Wide Moat stocks have outpeformed for the full period, but that is thanks mostly to better returns out of the gate. The outperformance is also aided by lesser drawdowns in market corrections. We see that both the Wide Moat approach and VDY have beat the market, with ease.

Wide Moats with an energy kick

I also hold Canadian energy stocks in the mix. That energy allocation is near 10%. Here’s what it looks like over the last year with that energy kicker. The following table looks at from January of 2021 to the end of July 2022. Continue Reading…

9 Housing Market Predictions for the next 5 Years

Posted By |

What is one prediction you have for the housing market in the next five years?  

To help you stay abreast of developments in the housing market, we asked real estate professionals and business leaders this question for their best predictions. From more people heading south to buyers shifting toward simple and functional homes, there are several insightful predictions that may help inform your decisions as a buyer, homeowner, developer or other stakeholder in the housing market within the next 5 years.

Here are nine housing market predictions for the next 5 years:

  • People Will Be Heading South
  • Expect a Good Degree of Stabilization
  • Lending Requirements Will Get Tighter
  • Home Values are Steadily Rising and Stabilizing
  • Look for Sell-Off by Big Owners
  • More Smaller and Affordable Houses
  • Expect More Use of Digital Tools to Promote Sales
  • Home Prices Will Continue Upward but Much More Gradually
  • Tastes Will Shift Toward Simple and Functional Homes

 

People will be Heading South

With remote work becoming the norm, we’ll continue to see people fleeing big cities for more land, warmer weather, and better amenities. Southern states such as Florida, South Carolina, Alabama, and Tennessee will see an increase in home buyers. Fewer people will be moving to the Northeast in favor of a lower cost of living, mild winters, and the ability to be outside 365 days of the year. — Isaiah Henry, Seabreeze Management

Expect a good degree of Stabilization

I think the market will stabilize somewhat, short of any significant downturn. Prices have shot up dramatically in recent years, so if they come down a bit now, that’s not a crash, it’s just a return to Earth. Anyone fearing something like the crash of 2008 should rest easy, as the same conditions are simply not there in terms of inventory, unemployment, and subprime lending. Expect prices in the near future to be somewhat closer to normal, but not dramatically so. — Marcus Hutsen, Patriot Coolers

Lending Requirements will get Tighter

One prediction I have for the housing market is that lending requirements will become tighter. This is because, after a period of loose lending standards, there has been an increase in the number of people defaulting on their mortgages. Lenders are becoming more cautious, and as a result, it will become harder for people to get mortgages. This could lead to a slowdown in the housing market, as fewer people will be able to buy homes. However, it could also create opportunities for investors who are willing to buy properties and rent them out. In any case, the housing market activity is likely to slow down in the next few years. — Lorien Strydom, Financer.com

Home Values are steadily rising and stabilizing

While we can’t magically forecast the future of real estate, it’s pretty safe to assume that home values are going up steadily just as they historically have. That doesn’t mean we won’t see the typical peaks and valleys that result from economic and other variable factors, rather confirm that the housing market fluctuates slightly over time which is normal. Those concerned the 2008 crisis could repeat can be at ease when considering the regulatory measures taken since to avoid straining our economy. It seems unlikely we would see such an event in the US again, and though buyer trends have been irregular in recent years, the data would support steady home values for the foreseeable future. — Tommy Chang, Homelister

Look for Sell-Off by Big Owners

One prediction I have is that the big companies that have been paying outrageous amounts for homes will suffer financially and need to sell them off. The idea behind these conglomerates, which some are foreign-owned, is to buy up private properties and either rent them or flip them for a profit. That is what has caused rents to soar and has pushed many would-be homeowners or independent house flippers out of the market because they can’t compete with the bid price.  Continue Reading…

4 ways Life Insurance can fund Retirement

Posted By |
Image by unsplash: James Hose jr

By Lucas Siegel

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

The infamous retirement crisis that’s been talked about for years just became real, with inflation and interest rates reaching record highs in the past few months. Consumer prices skyrocketed by 9.1% as of June 2022, the largest increase we’ve seen in 40 years. Couple that with a growing senior population living off a fixed income, many of which retired early during the pandemic, and you have yourself a massive problem.

Most senior Americans are unaware that their life insurance policy could be one of their most valuable liquid assets. Contrary to popular belief, life insurance isn’t just a way to care for loved ones after you die through the death benefit. In fact, permanent life insurance policies can also be used to access funds for retirement planning and healthcare when you need it most. Life settlements are legal throughout the US and regulated in all except six states, as well as the provinces of Quebec and Saskatchewan in Canada.

Regardless of age or financial standing, understanding the true value of your assets is essential to living out the retirement you deserve. Check out the following four ways you can use your life insurance policy to help fund retirement:

1.)   Sell your life insurance policy through a life settlement

For millions of Americans who own a life insurance policy, selling it through a life settlement can be a great way to access cash when it’s most needed. A life settlement involves selling a life insurance policy for lump-sum cash payment that is more than the cash surrender value, but less than the death benefit. Despite decades of industry innovation and growth, some 200 billion dollars[US$] in life insurance is lapsed each year that could have been sold as a life settlement.

While the life settlement process once took two to four months, AI technology has expedited the process, making it easier than ever the get a life settlement valuation. Policyholders can now use a free life settlement calculator to instantly see how much their policy is worth based on a few simple questions. Just as you track the value of your house on Zillow or your car on Autotrader, understanding the value of your life insurance policy is critical to make the best financial decisions for you and your family.

2.)   Obtain the cash value from a permanent policy

When you pay your premium on a permanent life policy, only a portion goes toward covering the cost of your life insurance. The remainder of these payments goes into an investment account where cash value can grow on a tax-deferred basis. As you age, you’ll also eventually be able to tap into the interest earnings from this investment account to help keep your policy active, thus bringing down your out of pocket premium payments. Essentially, the money in this account can be treated as emergency savings with tax advantages.

3.)   Borrow from your policy through a loan

Americans with whole life insurance that have accrued enough cash value to cover the debt can also use their policy as collateral through a whole life loan program. One major benefit is the interest rate will be much lower than what you’d see with credit card debt or an unsecured personal loan. This allows the policyholder to get a one-time, tax-free distribution that can be paid off with interest in life, or be withdrawn from your life insurance policy’s death benefit. Retirees might be able to go through their insurance carrier if whole life loans are offered, or utilize a third-party whole life loan program instead. Continue Reading…

How the Metaverse could improve the Canadian banking experience

Posted By |

 

By Gary Teelucksingh, CEO, Capco Canada

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

The metaverse. It’s become somewhat of a buzzword: especially when it comes to financial service industries such as banking; however, it’s often misunderstood. To truly understand the various applications of the metaverse as it relates to streamlining the banking experience for Canadians, we need to get a solid lay of the land first.

The metaverse (also known as Web3 or XR) is a digital “world” driven by mixed reality (MR), augmented reality (AR), virtual reality (VR), and blockchain. For the purpose of this conversation and future-of-banking purposes, we will focus our attention on the immersive virtual reality (VR) element that to put it quite simply, will offer new ways for society to interact. With that, the metaverse that we know today can be accessed by VR headsets but is by no means one specific place. Rather, it is a vast range of “places” and “worlds” brought together by a variety of technologies, for which a grand unifying platform has yet to be defined.

Because the metaverse brings together a mix of technologies that can be deployed for a variety of different use cases, it can be difficult to truly identify how it can best be leveraged for different industries. This challenge is also a great opportunity. It’s an opportunity for financial service industries to get creative, think outside the box, and eventually serve both their employees and customers in more effective ways.

Changing the Banking Experience

Despite still being early days of the metaverse, it has become advanced enough to garner attention globally. Some trail-blazing organizations have already begun to experiment and identify the possibilities that could potentially impact the banking experience:

  • VR portfolio reviews: allowing depth of visual capabilities otherwise unimagined
  • Virtual brand access: offering news ways to engage with new or existing customers
  • Real-time translation: providing global comprehension and immediate removal of language barriers
  • Access to financial literacy educational seminars: providing extensive access to materials for all consumers, from anywhere
  • VR-based investor conferences: allowing access from anywhere, such as Morningstar’s 2021 conference

So … Where to Start?

To better understand the metaverse, my advice is simple: do not expect to understand until you have donned a VR headset and experienced it for yourself.

Continue Reading…

Bid, Ask, Spread: 3 Stock Market terms Investors should know

Posted By |

By Charles Qi, CFA 

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Stock market traders use a lot of jargon. Terms like “haircut,” “candlestick,” and “circuit breaker” are commonplace in the trading community, but for the average investor, not so much.

For the most part, knowing the meanings of these terms is not critical. However, there are some terms used by traders that investors should know and understand well because they’re used on a regular basis. So, in this article, I’ll share what I consider to be some of the most important terms to know when it comes to investing: bid, ask, and spread.

Bid: The highest price a buyer will pay for a stock

A trader seeking to purchase a stock or other asset will make their intent known by placing a “bid.” The bid represents the highest price the buyer is willing to pay for the stock. Establishing a bid is not only important for the buyer, but also the seller: the range of bids from interested buyers helps sellers determine how much market interest there is in a particular stock.

Ask: The lowest price a seller will accept for a stock

On the opposite side, an “ask” refers to the lowest price a seller is willing to sell a stock for. The ask represents the supply side for a market for any given stock, while the bids represent demand.

Bid-ask spread: The difference between the ask and bid

Typically, the ask — also known as the “offer price” — will be higher than the bid. The difference between the bid and the ask is known as the “bid-ask spread,” or simply the “spread.” The smaller the spread, the easier it is to buy or sell a stock. That’s because, with smaller spread, less movement is needed to bring buyers and sellers to an agreeable price and conduct a transaction. Generally speaking, stocks and other assets that are being traded in higher volumes tend to have smaller spreads. Continue Reading…