Tag Archives: investing

Prepare for big deficits but not yet time for Trump and Dump

Character portrait of Donald Trump giving a speech on white backgroundBy Tyler Mordy, Forstrong Global Asset Management

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Donald Trump has claimed the US presidency. While this may be another “unthinkable,” no one should be surprised. Rising populist sentiment has been a defining feature of the post-crisis world.

While a confluence of factors are driving discontent, an overriding theme is the perception that gains since 2008 have accrued to a wealthy few.  Trump successfully tapped into those views and won. Clearly, America has sent a message to the political elite: “you’re fired.”

Where to from here? Not to be denied is that market volatility is set to rise. Trump’s anti-trade rhetoric could particularly create instabilities and imperil prosperity. But in a globalized world defined by a move toward closer interconnectedness, the “biggest loser” would undoubtedly be the United States.

Trump and Dump? Not Yet

Volatility should also be viewed opportunistically. Our Investment Team has written extensively on “Trump proofing” client portfolios. The first line of defense is wide global diversification with exposures to longer-running megatrends. For example, commodities are stuck in a grinding sideways market. Politics cannot change that meaningfully.

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7 tips for investing in the Trump era

Investors are inquiring how to invest their nest eggs after the U.S. election and the unexpected win by Donald Trump.” Let’s keep it very simple and explore a dose of reverse engineering. I highlight seven top tips for adoption:

USA presidential election donald trump, vector illustration, Editorial use only

1.) Ask where you want your nest egg to be in five, ten or twenty years.

2.) It’s imperative to always think and act logically, not emotionally.

3.) Accept that bond and stock market volatility is here to stay.

4.) Revisit your expectations as to goals, needs, objectives and plan of action.

5.) Implement, tweak and be patient with your long-term strategies.

6.) Cut to the chase and focus on managing your investing risks.

7.)  Keep cash available for buying opportunities during market sell-offs.

These straightforward, sensible tips can stickhandle your nest egg out of trouble most times.

AdrianAdrian Mastracci, MBA,  is president and portfolio manager for Vancouver-based KCM Wealth Management Inc., specializing in designing and stewarding retirement portfolios

What does the Trump Victory mean for the Markets?

USA presidential election donald trump, vector illustration, Editorial use only
President Elect Donald Trump

By Craig Fehr, CFA, Edward Jones

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Global stocks initially reacted negatively on Wednesday in response to Donald Trump’s U.S. presidential election victory, reflecting the fact that the outcome differed from the consensus expectation, as well as the greater degree of policy uncertainty associated with Trump.

The result does come with unknowns, but remember, the market is rarely free of political uncertainties. The broader path for investment conditions will, in our view, be driven by fundamental trends that are still reasonably favourable and unlikely to change abruptly based simply on the election. So while the markets are reacting immediately and in volatile fashion, it’s important to consider the longer-term outlook when it comes to your investments.

Initial volatility doesn’t tell whole story

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Investing in the Aftermath of the Trump victory

image005By Kara Lilly, Mawer Investment Management

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Donald Trump became the 45th president-elect of the United States last night. The businessman beat former secretary of state, Hillary Clinton, ending what has been a long and salacious presidential campaign. The GOP also kept control of both the Senate and the House, leaving the fractured party with room to implement its policy platform.

Markets were relatively calm today despite the knee-jerk selloff that was triggered by the impending victory last night. Equity indices have steadied and volatility indices have fallen as market anxiety has tempered. The greatest impacts so far appear in the bond and currency markets. Yields on longer term U.S. government bonds have risen amid wagers of higher spending. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar and Mexico peso have sunk on concerns of unravelling economic integration with the U.S.. Within equities, pharmaceutical stocks rose as investors unwound bets that a Clinton win would usher in greater regulation.

No meltdown but still a significant investing event

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“Scary” Investment moves to avoid

Shocked scared woman with financial market chart graphic going down on grey office wall background. Poor economy concept. Face expression, emotion, reaction

By Fraser Willson 

 Special to the Financial Independence Hub

 

If you have young children or grandchildren, you know what’s really important. Yes, it’s Halloween time again, which means you’ll see plenty of witches and vampires scurrying around. You’ll no doubt find these characters more amusing than frightening, but you don’t have to look far to find things that are a bit more alarming — such as these scary investment moves:

Paying too much attention to the headlines

Some headlines may seem unnerving, but don’t abandon your investment strategy just because the news of the day appears grim.

Chasing “hot” investments

You can get “hot” investment tips from the talking heads on television, your next-door neighbour or just about anybody. But even if the tip was accurate at one point, by the time you get to a “hot” investment, it may already be cooling down. And, even more importantly, it simply may not be appropriate for your individual risk tolerance and goals.

Ignoring different types of investment risk

Most investors are aware of the risk of losing principal when investing in stocks. But if you shun stocks totally in favour of perceived “risk-free” investments, you’d be making a mistake because all investments carry some type of risk. For example, with fixed-income investments, including GICs and bonds, one risk you may encounter is inflation risk — the risk that your investment will provide you with returns that won’t even keep up with inflation and will, therefore, result in a loss of purchasing power over time.

Another risk you can incur is interest-rate risk — the risk that new bonds will be issued at higher rates, driving down the price of your bonds. Bonds also carry the risk of default, though you can reduce this risk by sticking with bonds that receive the highest ratings from independent rating agencies.

Failing to diversify

If you only own one type of investment, and a market downturn affects that particular asset class, your portfolio could take a big hit. But by spreading your dollars among an array of vehicles, such as stocks, bonds and government securities, you can reduce the effects of volatility on your holdings. (Keep in mind, though, that diversification cannot guarantee profits or protect against loss.)

Focusing on the short term

If you concentrate too much on short-term results, you may react to a piece of bad news, or to a period of extreme price volatility, by making investment moves that are counterproductive to your goals. Furthermore, if you’re constantly seeking to instantaneously turn around losses, you’ll likely rack up fees, commissions and possibly taxes. Avoid all these hassles by keeping your eyes on the future and sticking to a long-term, personalized strategy.

You can’t always make the perfect investment choices. But by steering clear of the “scary” moves described above, you can work toward your long-term goals and hopefully avoid some of the more fearsome results.

0ec7e0fFraser Willson is a financial advisor and insurance agent for Edward Jones Investments. He works closely with families and businesses, helping them achieve their investment objectives in an organized and disciplined manner.