Tag Archives: investing

The two crucial success factors that often elude investors

There are two crucial success factors that often elude investors:  the ability to save consistently and the discipline to stick with a saving and investment plan over time.

Successful investing is a long-term proposition.  In the short run, financial markets are very unpredictable, gyrating to a complex and increasingly-interconnected information flow that changes by the second.  Sentiment and trendiness rule the short run, as markets oscillate around a more predictable long-term relationship between risk and reward.  As the great investor Benjamin Graham once said:

“In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.”

Furthermore, we believe most investors are confused about what it is that is difficult and what it is that is straightforward about investing.  Let’s start by looking at some essential yet straightforward steps for creating a sensible portfolio that should put you put you in a good position to achieve long-term investment success:

1.) Decide whether you’re going to do it yourself or use an advisor.  While it may seem obvious: you want to ensure that if you do choose to work with an advisor that he or she will act in your best interest.  In Canada, the vast majority of advisors are not required by law to work in your best interest – that doesn’t mean they won’t, but be aware – Robb Engen addressed this issue in a recent piece on Jonathan Chevreau’s Findependence Hub – Commission-based advice & suitability: a dangerous combination

2.) Decide how much risk to take.  Risk is most effectively assumed by exposing your portfolio to broad asset classes with different risk characteristics.  For example, stocks are riskier than bonds but that risk is usually rewarded with higher returns over the long run.   Your portfolio should be allocated to different asset classes so that it’s appropriate for your risk profile.  And we don’t just mean you take a questionnaire and allocate according to your score: your allocation really has to reflect your specific financial situation, taking into account both near and longer term goals.

3.) Pick what type of securities or funds in which to invest.  A sensible portfolio should be diversified effectively across geographies, industries and other dimensions of risk.

4.) Pick investment products that keep costs low. Compound interest is a modern miracle: costs work in the same way but against you, and the other side of that miracle is a curse.  For example, mutual fund fees in Canada are among the highest in the world, which can take a huge dent out of your nest egg over the long run.

5.) Trade only when necessary. Trading should be kept to a minimum and is really only necessary when a portfolio strays too far from its target allocation, you have new savings to invest / you need to withdraw funds, or your situation has changed by a magnitude that requires a new allocation.

So go create a low-cost diversified portfolio that suits your risk profile and trade when necessary to rebalance back to target:  it’s actually very straight forward.  There are wonderful products on the market for both do-it-yourselfers and those who want to work with advisors.  The merits of such an approach are evidenced in volumes of peer-reviewed academic literature, in the publicly available records of investment fund performance and anecdotally from scores of investors.

It all starts with saving

Unfortunately it’s easier said than done.

While the investing side as described above may, on the surface, seem fairly formulaic and mechanical, it doesn’t properly address two extremely important elements that are essential to long-term investing success.

The first may seem obvious but is not easy: saving. Without money to invest in the first place it’s hard to benefit from a long-term investment plan!  But saving is really hard.  It forces you to ask yourself some tough questions:

  • What do I need versus what do I want?
  • Can I live within my means?
  • Can I ignore what other people think is important and focus only on what is important for me and my family?
  • Am I comfortable with delaying gratification in order to save?
  • How much do I need to save to accomplish what I desire in life?  What do I desire in life?
  • What is worth sacrificing today so I can benefit later in life?

The second is not so obvious and is really difficult: discipline. Successful investing means that at times you’ll be fighting some very difficult impulses and emotions.  Again, you need to answer some difficult questions:

  • Am I prepared to buy an investment that has decreased in value dramatically?
  • Am I prepared to sell an investment that is skyrocketing, that everyone is talking about at cocktail parties and “getting rich” from?
  • Can I ignore the pundits and market commentators?
  • Can I stick with the plan even though my emotions tell me to do the exact opposite?

Now you might be saying sure, I won’t let my emotions get the better of me.  Believe us when we say it’s much more difficult in the heat of the moment to stick with the discipline that’s required.  Most investors, both amateur and professional, fall victim to psychological pitfalls and stray from their discipline precisely at the moment they need it most, usually around market peaks and troughs.

By all means, engage in an investment process to deliver long-term success. Do your research and take your time to set it up correctly but don’t forget about the really hard part: saving enough to allow you to benefit from investing and maintaining the discipline to reap the rewards over the long run.  If you feel you can’t avoid the psychological pitfalls alone, get some help!

Graham Bodel is the founder and director of a new fee-only financial planning and portfolio management firm based in Vancouver, BC., Chalten Fee-Only Advisors Ltd. This blog is republished with permission: the original ran on December 14th, here.

 

 

My recent blogs: KIPPERS, insecure retirement, annuities, post-Trump investing

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KIPPERS. Should parents dip into retirement savings to help their kids?

As regular Hub readers may know, I often write financial articles for other (mostly) digital media, usually the Financial Post, MoneySense.ca and Motley Fool Canada. Here’s some of the most recent blogs or columns, with links via the headlines.

Nearing Retirement and still insecure about your finances? Sadly, you’re not alone. (FP, Nov. 17)). This came out of a survey released this week by Mackenzie Investments that suggested many of us actually feel less secure financially about retirement the closer the actual date arrives. One reason is grey divorce and another perhaps related one is dipping into retirement savings to help adult children.

The latter idea was explored In an earlier FP blog I wrote this week: When Boomers should turn the taps off (or on) when it comes to financial assistance for their kids. (FP, Nov 15). There I pass along a term I learned from occasional Hub guest blogger Doug Dahmer of Emeritus Retirement Solutions: KIPPERS, also mentioned in the photo caption above.

KIPPERS stands for Kids in Parents’ Pockets Eroding Retirement Savings.  I also mentioned this in a short segment on this topic on Tuesday with Peter Armstrong on CBC’s On the Money show.

A few weeks earlier, the CBC aired another segment between me and Armstrong titled You’ve never going to retire, and Here’s Why.

Canadian Personal Finance Conference this weekend

That of course touched on the new book I’ve coauthored with Mike Drak, Victory Lap RetirementThe FP has also been running excerpts of the book the last several Mondays. You can find the first four here. Number 5 is slated for next Monday. By the way, co-author and fellow blogger Mike Drak and I both plan to attend the Canadian Personal Finance Conference 2016 this weekend in Toronto. Hope to see other financial bloggers there!

Last weekend, the FP ran a my column on Locked-in Retirement Accounts (LIRAs): The RRSP’s less flexible cousin: Everything you need to know about the LIRA.  Watch for a followup column that addresses reader queries on this topic.

Earlier this week, Motley Fool Canada ran my take on investing in the post-Trump-victory world: Don’t dump your long-term investment plan over Trump’s victory. And it’s just published my latest quarterly report for Stock Advisor Canada, this one on CRM2 and Best Interest (only subscribers with a user name/password combo can access this).

Over at MoneySense.ca on November 11th was the online version of my most recent column from the November issue of the magazine, which is on annuities: How to win using annuities in retirement.

Hey, no one promised my Victory Lap Retirement would be easy!

 

Prepare for big deficits but not yet time for Trump and Dump

Character portrait of Donald Trump giving a speech on white backgroundBy Tyler Mordy, Forstrong Global Asset Management

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Donald Trump has claimed the US presidency. While this may be another “unthinkable,” no one should be surprised. Rising populist sentiment has been a defining feature of the post-crisis world.

While a confluence of factors are driving discontent, an overriding theme is the perception that gains since 2008 have accrued to a wealthy few.  Trump successfully tapped into those views and won. Clearly, America has sent a message to the political elite: “you’re fired.”

Where to from here? Not to be denied is that market volatility is set to rise. Trump’s anti-trade rhetoric could particularly create instabilities and imperil prosperity. But in a globalized world defined by a move toward closer interconnectedness, the “biggest loser” would undoubtedly be the United States.

Trump and Dump? Not Yet

Volatility should also be viewed opportunistically. Our Investment Team has written extensively on “Trump proofing” client portfolios. The first line of defense is wide global diversification with exposures to longer-running megatrends. For example, commodities are stuck in a grinding sideways market. Politics cannot change that meaningfully.

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7 tips for investing in the Trump era

Investors are inquiring how to invest their nest eggs after the U.S. election and the unexpected win by Donald Trump.” Let’s keep it very simple and explore a dose of reverse engineering. I highlight seven top tips for adoption:

USA presidential election donald trump, vector illustration, Editorial use only

1.) Ask where you want your nest egg to be in five, ten or twenty years.

2.) It’s imperative to always think and act logically, not emotionally.

3.) Accept that bond and stock market volatility is here to stay.

4.) Revisit your expectations as to goals, needs, objectives and plan of action.

5.) Implement, tweak and be patient with your long-term strategies.

6.) Cut to the chase and focus on managing your investing risks.

7.)  Keep cash available for buying opportunities during market sell-offs.

These straightforward, sensible tips can stickhandle your nest egg out of trouble most times.

AdrianAdrian Mastracci, MBA,  is president and portfolio manager for Vancouver-based KCM Wealth Management Inc., specializing in designing and stewarding retirement portfolios

What does the Trump Victory mean for the Markets?

USA presidential election donald trump, vector illustration, Editorial use only
President Elect Donald Trump

By Craig Fehr, CFA, Edward Jones

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Global stocks initially reacted negatively on Wednesday in response to Donald Trump’s U.S. presidential election victory, reflecting the fact that the outcome differed from the consensus expectation, as well as the greater degree of policy uncertainty associated with Trump.

The result does come with unknowns, but remember, the market is rarely free of political uncertainties. The broader path for investment conditions will, in our view, be driven by fundamental trends that are still reasonably favourable and unlikely to change abruptly based simply on the election. So while the markets are reacting immediately and in volatile fashion, it’s important to consider the longer-term outlook when it comes to your investments.

Initial volatility doesn’t tell whole story

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