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Security Selection is a nebulous Value proposition

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Image courtesy https://advisor.wellington-altus.ca/standupadvisors/

By John De Goey, CFP, CIM

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

By now, you will have almost certainly heard a few stories about the folly of stock picking as a viable way to beat the market.  The problem that high net worth (HNW) investors are disproportionately saddled with is they are bombarded with people who purport to be able to add value by doing things that, in aggregate, cannot possibly be true.

There are three basic equity building blocks investors might use to mix and match in their portfolio construction: individual securities, ETFs and / or mutual funds.  Very few HNW investors use funds, but I will mention them for the sake of completeness and comparison.  Mostly, funds are used as an example of what NOT to do.

To provide structure and consistency to this discussion, I should add there are a couple industry terms you might be somewhat familiar with that nonetheless need to be defined. They are:

Alpha – The pursuit of reliable, consistent and superior risk-adjusted returns; and:

Closet Indexing – The practice of masquerading as an active manager while holding a portfolio basket that nearly replicates the index it tracks.

No matter what vehicles are used, these two concepts need to be considered when assessing options.

Dreams versus Reality

There’s a simple way to think of them.  They are, respectively, the dream and the reality of how most traditional mutual funds are managed.

Everyone wants Alpha at a micro (personal) level, but Alpha does not even exist on a macro (aggregate) level.  A metaphor many use is that no matter how high anyone’s mark is, if everyone else in the class has a high mark, the class will have a high average, but it will be difficult to beat the average.  This was simply explained by a Nobel prize winner named William F. Sharpe of Stanford, who wrote a paper about 30 years ago called “The Arithmetic of Active Management.”

In it, he showed the self-evident logic that any market is made up of active managers (traders) and passive managers (benchmark replicators).  Any benchmark (such as the TSX) is merely the sum of all active and passive participants.  Seeing as the passive people merely replicate the benchmark, their returns will equal the return of the benchmark minus their fees. It follows that the average return of all active managers will also equal the total benchmark minus fees.  Since average active fees exceed average passive fees, it logically follows that the average passively managed dollar must outperform the average actively managed dollar.  Continue Reading…

7 ways Investors are capitalizing on Low Interest Rates

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What is one way you are capitalizing on low-interest rates?

To help you take advantage of low interest rates, we asked seven finance experts and business leaders this question for their best insights. From refinancing existing debts to looking into preferred securities, there are several suggestions that may help you benefit from the low interest rates in the current market. 

Here are seven tips for capitalizing on low-interest rates:   

  • Work with a Finance Broker
  • Get into Commercial Real Estate
  • Refinance Existing Debts
  • Consider FHA Loans
  • Maximize your Return on Investment
  • Set up a Line of Credit
  • Look into Preferred Securities 

Work with a Finance Broker

As a commercial finance broker, we work with our clients to make sure they can take advantage of low interest rates based on a thorough financial analysis of their company. By analyzing your credit and financial health, we act as an advisor to clients for the best financing options available. We also build leases and loans that are competitively priced and intelligently structured for an optimal plan that works for the client and incorporates the best rates possible.  — Carey Wilbur, Charter Capital

Get into Commercial Real Estate 

If you’ve been wondering whether or not to buy commercial real estate, I think it is time to take advantage of the “perfect storm” of low borrowing rates. You’ll save a lot of money on interest payments long term. Now is the perfect moment to acquire real estate for assets as an income-generating resource. So whether you need a warehouse, brick-and-mortar store outlet, or even commercial property to place on the rental market, this might be one of the best times to get in the market. Renting your commercial property will provide you with consistent income, and you might also benefit from tax advantages on depreciation and capital gains, to name a few. — Allan J. Switalski, AVANA Capital

Refinance Existing Debts 

I suggest you consider refinancing your small business loan, mortgage, or student debt, which entails paying off your existing loan by taking out a new one. The new loan will have a reduced interest rate. Ideally, opt for a fixed-rate loan to lock in the lower rate. To qualify, you’ll need strong credit, but if you do, you’ll save a lot of money on interest fees. — Sundip Patel, LendThrive

Consider FHA Loans

FHA Loans are a great low-interest lending option that is offered by the Federal Housing Administration. These loans are intended to increase homeownership access to those who may not have the ideal credit score required by other financing options. This can be a great option for prospective real estate investors. — Than Merrill, FortuneBuilders

Maximize your Return on Investment

When interest rates are low, borrowing is much more convenient. Continue Reading…

Helping entrepreneurs thrive as pandemic-driven small business trends stay for the long haul

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Image RBC/iStock

By Don Ludlow, Vice President, Small Business, Strategy & Partnerships and Business Financial Services, RBC

(Sponsor content)

While the COVID-19 pandemic brought significant challenges and uncertainty to small businesses across Canada, it also became a catalyst for many new business practices.

In many ways, it also accelerated the need for small business owners to adapt to other trends and consumer expectations that were steadily on the rise over the last several years.

To help us better understand these trends, RBC recently conducted research to gauge the types of experiences and expectations Canadians have when interacting with small businesses in the coming year as we continue to navigate the ongoing pandemic and journey toward economic recovery.

The survey revealed three important trends that will continue to impact small businesses in the year ahead:

  1. First, we’ll see a growing demand for digital payment and engagement options, whether customers are connecting with small businesses in person or online.

While eCommerce and digital solutions were already on the rise pre-pandemic, they became pandemic necessities as businesses adapted to health and safety measures.

Now, more Canadians are expecting this to be the new way of doing business, with two-thirds (64%) of Canadians saying that partnering with digital platforms to make products and services more accessible will be important post-pandemic, especially among millennials (72%).

Meanwhile, four in five Canadians polled say that they would like to continue to shop online at small businesses, even after the economy is fully reopened, and 72% say that increased social media presence helped them become more aware of what small and local businesses had to offer.

  1. Small businesses that focus on prioritizing employee wellness and overall customer health & safety will be greatly valued by Canadians.

The majority of Canadian respondents in our poll said providing more wellness and mental health benefits and resources to employees will be important going forward (87%).

They also expect heightened hygiene standards to continue post-pandemic (99%) and would like businesses to continue offering flexible curbside pickup and delivery services (78%).

As a result, offering employee benefits, resources and safety protocols that meet these expectations will be critical differentiators for small businesses looking to attract and retain talent and customers.  

  1. We’ll continue to see a rise in socially and locally conscious consumers – especially among millennials and Gen Z.

Supporting small, local, and diversity-focused businesses is here to stay post-pandemic. According to our research, the majority of Canadians (77%) polled plan to spend more at small, local retail stores, restaurants and businesses to support their recovery than they did before the pandemic.

Many respondents also said they are actively seeking out and supporting 2SLGBTQ+* (52%) and BIPOC **(61%)-owned businesses, products and services. These numbers are greater among Millennials and Gen Z, indicating the next generation of consumers will increasingly purchase through a diversity-focused lens.

Being aware of these trends, and adapting business strategies and operational practices to address evolving consumer expectations will be important to the success of small business owners in the next year.

In light of these insights, we have three tips for entrepreneurs to consider as part of their 2022 playbook for success. Continue Reading…

Checking in on the balanced asset allocation ETFs

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By Dale Roberts, cutthecrapinvesting

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

If you are not yet familiar with the all-in-one asset allocation ETFs, do yourself a favour and get up to speed. These are game changers for Canadian investors. You might also hear them referred to as one ticket ETFs. TD calls their offerings ‘one click’. And one click explains it quite nicely. With one click on your laptop or smartphone you can purchase a very well-diversified global investment portfolio, with total fees in the range of 0.20%-0.28%. These ETF portfolios are then managed for you. What’s not to love? And you can access the level of risk that’s right for your investment goals and time horizon. Today, we’ll look at the year-to-date performance for the balanced asset allocation ETFs.

Vanguard gets much of the credit for bringing the asset allocation ETFs to Canada. It was actually iShares who were first, but no worries on that front.

Here’s a post on the Vanguard one ticket asset allocation ETFs. That post is entitled ‘which of the Vanguard asset allocation portfolios should you invest in?’ That will help you select the right ETF at the right level of risk.

I recently helped MoneySense refresh and rewrite the Canadian Couch Potato section on their site. In the core couch potato section you’ll also find a table that categorizes and frames the risk levels, while offering the suite of ETFs in each category.

What’s in a one ticket ETF?

You’ll own the majority of publicly-listed stocks in North America and around the globe. Of course the bonds are there to manage the risks. Think of them as portfolio shock absorbers. You’ll usually find Canadian and U.S. bond ETFs in the one ticker offerings.

At one-tenth the cost of a typical Canadian mutual fund, it is a no-brainer.

Yup, you can open up your Questrade account right here and get on with it. That is the top-rated brokerage in many places, including on MoneySense. Who doesn’t want to retire with 30%, 40% or 50% more?

Here’s an example of the ETFs held, using Vanguard’s VBAL.

The portfolios offer a simple but wonderful mix. It’s an easy way to do that couch potato thing. It is also very easy to leave your advisor or bank that might have you invested in high fee mutual funds. I suggest you give that some serious consideration.

The balanced asset allocation ETF returns

And if you want to look back, here’s the performance of the asset allocation ETFs for 2020. You’ll see that Horizons led the charge, followed by BMO, iShares and Vanguard, who were all quite similar in returns offered across the levels of risk. Continue Reading…

Retired Money: What is the Rule of 30?

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ECW Press

My latest MoneySense Retired Money column reviews actuary Fred Vettese’s new retirement book: The Rule of 30 (ECW Press).

You can find the full column by clicking on the highlighted headline here: What’s the Rule of 30? And what does it have to do with Income and Retirement?

Never heard of the Rule of 30? Neither had I, nor Fred himself until he invented it.

In a nutshell, it’s a rule of thumb financial planners can use to guestimate how much young couples starting off on their financial journeys need to save for Retirement. Rather than flatly state something like save 10 or 12 or 15% of your gross (pre tax) income each and every year, the Rule of 30 sees retirement saving as occurring in tandem to Daycare and Mortgage Repayment.

From the get go Vettese suggests young couples allocate 30% of their gross or after-tax income to the three expenses of Retirement saving, Daycare and Mortgage paydown. However, in the early years they may save less in order to handle Daycare and the mortgage. Since daycare expenses usually fall away after a few years (depending on how many children a couple has), once it has gone you can ramp up the mortgage paydown and/or retirement savings. And if – ideally five years before retirement – the home mortgage is paid off, then couples can kick their retirement saving into overdrive by allocating a full 30% or more solely to building their nest egg.

Wealthy Barber style fictional format

In a departure from his previous books — Retirement Income for Life and The Essential Retirement Guide among them — The Rule of 30 uses the tried-and-true quasi-fictional “story” pioneered by David Chilton’s The Wealthy Barber. That road has been ploughed by many subsequent financial authors, including Yours Truly in Findependence Day. 

As Vettese told me in an interview mentioned in the column, he didn’t plan it that way initially. “I did a first chapter using that format and then realized it’s a lot easier to write this way and it’s not as dry: it’s somewhat easier to read and to write. When you get a problem, a character chimes in.”

The main characters are a couple, X and Y, and — conveniently — the neighbour next door who happens to be an actuary with time on his hands.

No doubt it would have worked either way, but Vettese’s dialogs are readable enough and he even works in a minor subplot involving the actuary and his estranged daughter.

One of the people acknowledged by Vettese at the back of the book is fellow actuary and retiree Malcolm Hamilton. In an email, Hamilton said “I have always believed that middle class Canadians who marry, buy a house and have children cannot reasonably expect to save much for retirement until after the age of 45,” Hamilton told me via email, “There just isn’t enough income to cover mortgage payments, the cost of raising children and Canada’s heavy tax burden (with child care expenses and mortgage payments generally non deductible for those with incomes that suggest they need to save.”

All in all, a useful rule of thumb for young couples setting out on family formation, home ownership and ultimately Retirement. Note that Vettese says that once you are within five years of your hoped-for Retirement age, you should strive to be mortgage free. And around 55, you should move from the Rule of 30 to using a Retirement calculator like the free one Vettese developed for Morneau Shepell: PERC, or the Personal Enhanced Retirement Calculator.

PS: I am now Investing Editor at Large for MoneySense

Alert readers who got to the bottom of the column and read the author blurb will see a slight change in my status at MoneySense. In addition to writing the monthly Retired Money column I am now also the Investing Editor at Large for the site, a fact that’s also divulged in my Twitter profile.  I will continue to publish Hub blogs every business day: so much for Retirement!