Building Wealth

For the first 30 or so years of working, saving and investing, you’ll be first in the mode of getting out of the hole (paying down debt), and then building your net worth (that’s wealth accumulation.). But don’t forget, wealth accumulation isn’t the ultimate goal. Decumulation is! (a separate category here at the Hub).

BMO ETFs’ Spring Road Tour

Posted By Jonathan Chevreau | April 15, 2026

On Tuesday, I attended the Toronto instalment of BMO ETFs’ Spring Road Tour, the first of a 10-city Canadian tour that extends into early May.

The title is We’ve got you covered, which is a sly allusion to one of the main themes of the series: Covered Call ETFs.

Aimed primarily at financial advisors, the sessions are roughly an hour long, coinciding either with breakfast or lunch, depending on the city. There are three main segments:

Bipan Rai, Head of ETFs & Alternatives Strategy, provides insights into BMO’s current macroeconomic outlook, including positioning across asset classes and risk models

Jimmy Xu, Head, Liquid Alts and Non linear ETFs, manager of BMO’s flagship Covered Call ETFs, discusss these innovative solutions designed to help clients meet their cash flow needs while maximizing long term growth.
The road show ends with an introduction to BMO’s new Portfolio Consulting Services, designed to help advisors navigate an increasingly complex investment landscape. Senior Portfolio Consultant, Hilly Cutler shares how BMO supports advisors in optimizing their model portfolios—reducing costs, enhancing diversification, and managing risk as CRM3 approaches.

As the chart below summarizes, the road shows ends in Burlington on May 7th:

Except the Toronto event, which was a breakfast session, the other sessions all begin at either 12 pm or 1 pm. Below we reproduce some of the slides presented at the show.

Current Market outlook and Positioning by Bipan Rai

Bipan Rai, BMO ETFs

The sessions kick off with a current market outlook delivered by Bipan Rai, who focused on the impacts of the ongoing Iran war, which began at the end of February. He confessed to having a few sleepless nights about the closing of the Hormuz Strait. Not surprisingly most investors suffered negative returns in both stocks and bonds during March. Hormuz matters for the macroeconomic picture, not just because of oil, but also because of Liquid Natural Gas, fertilizers and Helium: the latter helps cool AI systems. (shown below).

Rai also showed the following two charts, which illustrate how the Consumer Price Index changes the longer the price of oil stays higher. The longer the Strait is closed or traffic severely constrained, the more it will create inflation and create risks to economic growth.

If the price of Oil does stay higher for longer, Rai commented that investors may want to take a more defensive tilt to equities, emphasize quality and low volatility as factors, diversify with Treasury Inflation Protected Securities and embrace broad commodities. BMO has of course ETFs for all of these: such as ZTIP (BMO Short-term US TIPS Index ETF) or the new ZCOM for broad commodity exposure.

Rai’s “big takeaway” is that while Commodities are the “source of the shock,” they also “benefit from supply constraints, fiscal demand and de-globalization.”

Knowing that Inflation risks are “to the upside” and “growth risks are to the downside” Rai concludes that “We are most likely migrating from a ‘reflation’ to ‘mild stagflation.’ ”

He says we are likely in a transition from Strong Growth and High Inflation to Slower Growth and High Inflation, while North American banks are “likely to keep rates on hold.”

As a result, as shown below, BMO is neutral to overweight Equities, underweight Fixed Income, and overweight Alternatives:

Jimmy Xu on the Benefits of Covered Call ETFs

The second talk is by Jimmy Xu, Head of Liquid Alts and Non linear ETFs. His focus was on Covered Call ETFs, which BMO has pioneered in the Canadian market. While investors often buy covered call ETFs just for yield, yield is not the most important consideration, Xu said. “Chasing yield is the quickest way to have unstable income, capital erosion and unhappy clients.” Continue Reading…

Relying on Inheritance: Retirement Cash Flow Review

Posted By Financial Independence Hub | April 14, 2026

By Dale Roberts, Retirement Club/Cutthecrapinvesting

Special to Financial Independence Hub

The Globe & Mail offers ongoing real-life retirement funding (cash flow plan) scenarios. They also invite a financial planner to offer their opinion. They call the series Financial Facelift. A recent article caught my eye. I thought I would give it a go using a popular free use retirement software that allows DIY retirees and near retirees to run their own plans.

The following is a cash flow review from the Globe. I was curious, so I started to enter the details at MayRetire: a very intuitive, easy-to-use (free use) retirement cash flow calculator.

And I’ll show you how: you can join Dale for a …

How to use MayRetire Intro Zoom Call Session

You can join a 12 pm or 7 pm EST session this Thursday, April 16th.

Time: Apr 16, 2026 12:00 PM Eastern Time

Join Zoom Meeting: Click on this Zoom Call LInk

Enter this Passcode: 156627

Meeting ID: 865 0137 0741

Time: Apr 16, 2026 07:00 PM Eastern Time

Join Zoom Meeting: Click on this Zoom Call Link

Enter this Passcode: 828943

Meeting ID: 585 884 9710

The Financial Facelift scenario

Ennis and Kara are planning to retire soon, leaving behind joint family income of more than $340,000 a year. Ennis is 61 years old and earns $220,000 a year in senior management. His wife, Kara, is 54 and earns $120,000 in research.

Both have defined-benefit pensions. Ennis’s will be $27,960 a year, while Kara’s will pay $9,000 a year. Both pensions are only partly indexed to inflation, his 50 per cent, hers 60 per cent.

“We’ve received no shortage of advice on how to prepare for this transition, but are interested in getting an experienced, objective view on whether we can retire on our timeline or are being overly optimistic,” Ennis writes in an e-mail.

Both anticipate receiving inheritances at some point.

Their goals are to travel and help their three young adult children buy first homes when the family cottage is sold. Their share will be about $150,000.

Two of their children are still living at home.

Check out Retirement Club for Canadians

The couple’s home in an Ontario city is valued at $1.1-million, and has a $300,000 mortgage. Their retirement spending goal is $135,000 a year after tax.

The G&M asked Ian Calvert, a certified financial planner and head of wealth planning at HighView Financial in Oakville, Ont., to look at Ennis’s and Kara’s situation.

What the expert says

Ennis and Kara have a net worth of about $2.18-million, Mr. Calvert says.

“They have a healthy asset base, and their pensions are a strong component of their retirement plan,” he notes. “However, without any non-registered assets or tax-free savings accounts (TFSAs), all of their withdrawals in retirement will be treated as taxable income, with the exception of their cash savings.”

To fund their cash flow requirements, they will need to withdraw about $129,000 a year from their combined RRSPs and locked-in retirement accounts, or LIRAs, the planner says.

“Before they start consistent withdrawals from these accounts, they should consider converting their RRSPs to registered retirement income funds (RRIFs) and unlock 50 per cent of their LIRAs,” Mr. Calvert says.

Unlocking 50% of the LIRAs

The unlocking of retirement assets adds more flexibility: They are moving assets out of LIRAs, which have annual withdrawal maximums, into RRSPs, which do not.

Moving assets from RRSPs to RRIFs makes sense because they are entering their withdrawal phase and need consistent income from these accounts.

“It’s important to remember that the 50 per cent unlocking is a one-time option that should be completed at age 55 or older when you are completing the transfer from a LIRA to a life income fund (LIF) and starting to withdraw.”

The couple’s $129,000 withdrawal, plus combined pension income of $37,000 a year, will give them a total family income of $166,000 a year, less $31,000 in income taxes. This will meet their after-tax spending target of $135,000.

“The required annual withdrawals from their retirement savings represent about 10 per cent of their portfolio,” the planner notes. “It would be challenging to maintain their capital at this withdrawal rate, and they should expect a decline in capital over time.”

Fortunately, they have two items that will reduce the withdrawal rate. “First, they are expecting a combined inheritance of about $1.3-million in the next few years,” Mr. Calvert says. “Second, they will both be getting Canada Pension Plan and Old Age Security benefits.”

When their inheritance comes through, they should use part of it to fund their TFSAs to the maximum available limit at the time, Mr. Calvert says. Currently, the lifetime maximum TFSA contribution is $109,000 each, increasing by $7,000 each year.

This will leave a substantial amount to be invested in their non-registered portfolio.

“Investing the remaining non-registered funds to generate steady and reliable income would be beneficial for a couple of reasons,” the planner says. With $1-million or so to invest, “they should build a portfolio structure that not only will participate in growth, but will generate a consistent dividend yield of about 3.5 per cent, or $35,000 a year.”

Relying on inheritance

The inheritance money will give them much more flexibility, the planner says. They will have funds they can access without adding to their taxable income. However, the new investment income from the funds they can’t shelter in their TFSAs will be reported and taxed every year.

“Once their inheritance is received, they could withdraw $35,000 per year from the non-registered portfolio and reduce the withdrawals from their RRSPs and LIRAs to about $89,000 a year. This, combined with their pension income of about $38,000 (with inflation), would bring their total income to about $162,000 year while reducing their taxes to $27,000 per year, he says.

When to take CPP and OAS will depend on the timing and amount of their expected inheritance, the planner says. Without the inheritance, starting their benefits at age 65 would help reduce the annual withdrawals from their portfolio, the planner says.

Because of the seven-year difference in their ages, Ennis and Kara have time to think about when to take benefits. “They could take a hybrid approach,” the planner says. “For instance, if no inheritance was received by 2029 when Ennis turns 65, they could start his CPP and OAS payments to reduce the withdrawals from their savings,” he says. “They would still have lots of time to make the decision for Kara because she won’t turn 65 until 2037.”

They also ask about helping their children. “The challenge in their current position is they don’t have the after-tax capital to do it today,” Mr. Calvert says. “Large withdrawals from their RRSPs would not be tax-efficient and would further hasten the decline in their capital,” he says. “Their only other option is to pull equity from their house, which would come with additional debt servicing.”

The situation

The people: Ennis, 61, Kara, 54, and their three children, 20, 24 and 26.

The problem: Can they afford to retire soon and still meet their retirement spending goal?

The plan: A lot depends on the anticipated inheritance. They’d be drawing heavily on their registered savings in the early years. Ennis could start his government benefits at 65 to keep the withdrawals to a minimum. Continue Reading…

15 experts on Alternative Asset Classes beyond the traditional 60/40

Posted By Jonathan Chevreau | April 13, 2026

I’ve noticed a flurry of articles recently about how investors, including nearing or in the Retirement Risk Zone, might consider moving beyond the traditional 60/40 balanced portfolio of stocks and bonds to consider multiple alternative asset classes.

Indeed, here at FindependenceHub.com we have in the past week run two blogs on specific alternative assets classes: Gold and Bitcoin.

Click on the following headlines to read them if you missed them the first time around:

Should you invest in Gold?

Could Bitcoin fall to Zero, which is where this Crypto skeptic argues it belongs?

Admittedly both blogs have a strong point of view that comes from the respective authors. It happens that these two bloggers don’t think much of Gold and Bitcoin respectively. I value their opinion and felt it was worth passing along to readers, who can make their own judgements. Personally, I’ve always believed 5% in Gold or Precious Metals bullion and/or mining stocks is a risk worth taking. I’m a little more skeptical about cryptocurrency but have written in the past that for those inclined to take a flyer on Bitcoin, a 1 or 2% position could work. That 1% could soar and become 10% or more of a total portfolio but it’s also possible that it might indeed descend to zero.

The rest of this blog canvases a baker’s dozen of financial experts and business owners and you’ll see that several of them take a stance on gold and bitcoin, both positively and negatively, as well as numerous other asset classes, such as real estate, private equity, hedge funds and many more.

With the assistance of Featured.com, which has been supplying Findependence Hub with quality content for several years, we recently polled a number of these experts on LinkedIn, as you can see by clicking on their profiles below.

Here’s how we posed the question:

Beyond traditional stocks and bonds, represented in Balanced ETFs, what, if any, alternative asset classes do you recommend, and in what proportions? For example: precious metals (gold or silver bullion or related stocks, or ETFs holding the same), commodities in general, Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies, real estate held directly or via REITs or certain publicly traded stocks, or any other alternatives not mentioned here, such as Private Equity or Hedge Funds.

1. I recommend gold primarily as geopolitical and inflation insurance, not as a growth asset. Allocate 5-10% of your portfolio to gold via ETFs like GLD or physical bullion if you have secure storage. Silver is more volatile and industrial, so treat it as a smaller speculative position (2-3%) if at all. Gold doesn’t pay dividends or interest, so it’s dead weight in a bull market, but it’s the ultimate “crisis hedge” when currencies or governments misbehave.

2. Direct real estate ownership is capital-intensive and illiquid, so for most investors, publicly traded REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) are the smarter play. They provide exposure to commercial, residential, or industrial property with daily liquidity and mandatory dividend payouts. I prefer diversified REIT ETFs like VNQ. This gives you inflation protection (rents rise with prices) and income generation without the headache of being a landlord. Avoid over-concentration here; real estate correlates heavily with the broader economy during downturns.

3. Crypto is not an investment; it’s a volatility lottery ticket with a philosophical thesis. I recommend limiting exposure to 2-5% of your portfolio, and only in the “blue chips” (Bitcoin and Ethereum). Treat this as venture capital: money you can afford to lose entirely. Do not buy crypto with debt, and do not FOMO into altcoins. Store it in a hardware wallet (Ledger, Trezor) if you hold significant amounts; exchanges are not banks. This allocation satisfies your urge to participate in the “future of finance” without risking your retirement if it all goes to zero.

4. Commodities (oil, natural gas, agricultural products) via ETFs like DBC provide inflation protection and diversification, but they are mean-reverting and volatile. Allocate 3-5% as a tactical hedge, especially during inflationary periods. Avoid direct futures contracts unless you are a professional; the contango and rollover costs will eat you alive.

5. Unless you are an accredited investor with $10M+ in liquid net worth, private equity and hedge funds are legally and financially inaccessible or impractical. They charge egregious fees (2% management + 20% performance), lock up your capital for years, and studies show most underperform public markets after fees. If you insist, access them via interval funds or publicly traded BDCs (Business Development Companies), but understand you are paying for illiquidity and complexity, not guaranteed outperformance. — Lyle Solomon, Principal Attorney, Oak View Law Group

Alternative investments should represent twenty per cent of an investor’s total portfolio. In terms of specific allocations, I recommend ten percent in physical gold as a hedge against loss or theft, five percent in real estate investment trusts (REITs) for income generation and three percent in Bitcoin for growth opportunities. Finally, I suggest two per cent be allocated to private equity for both capital gains and diversification purposes. A combination of these types of alternative investments will help protect investors from future inflationary pressures and contribute greatly to their long term performance. Geremy Yamamoto, Founder, Eazy House Sale

Put the most money into things you understand best

My bigger principle is this: Put the most money into the things you understand best.

In my case, that has always been real estate and housing because I know how value gets created there. I know what distress looks like. I know where the discount comes from. I know how people get in trouble. That matters. The more removed an asset is from your real-world understanding, the smaller it should probably be.

And one more thing. Liquidity matters. A lot. People forget that. An investment may look great on paper until you need cash and cannot get to it without taking a beating. That is why I like keeping things simple and staying out of anything that locks you up unless the reward is clearly worth it. — Don Wede, CEO, Heartland Funding Inc.

I’ll break the answer into two parts depending on what your goals are. Growing your assets is one thing, turning your capital into a lifetime income that never runs out is another and that is the #1 financial concern of the 50+ age group.

Purchasing Power Protection is the new Growth strategy:

Historically we used to achieve stable growth by balancing a risk-on asset class (equities) with a risk-off asset class (bonds). In good times the equities flew and the bonds did little; in bad times the bond performance offset declines in equities.

The problem is that in inflationary times, both fall. Inflation undermines the economics of established businesses which have to compete for limited resources that are increasing in price. Positioning for scarcity can insulate you against these circumstances. Gold, Silver and even Bitcoin are the most liquid scarce assets on the planet but they don’t move uniformly. Backing a portfolio with a scarce risk-on asset such as Silver or Bitcoin — while having the majority in a reliable, but occasionally boring, asset like gold — now gives you balance over the longer term. A 30/70 split seems to be the sweet spot.

Assets run out, Lifetime Income is forever:

70% of savers worry about one thing above all others. Can I afford my ideal lifestyle now at the risk of poverty if I live 25+ years? Not everyone will live 25+ years but if I spend now then I am betting against my own longevity. Insurers capitalize on this risk by pooling lives together and promising annuitants a fixed income for life. But fixed incomes lock in the loss of purchasing power. Your lifestyle is going to degrade over time.

It wasn’t always this way. Just over a century ago, 50% of U.S. households joined a longevity risk-sharing arrangement called a Tontine. Recent legislation has enabled modern Tontine Trusts which can be backed by assets that can resist inflation. The Tontine Trusts use your preferred assets to pay you a monthly income for life. When a member dies, their leftover assets top-up the trusts of survivors, typically enabling their monthly income to increase.

So the question the reader really needs to decide upon is: What matters most? The balance of the account or the lifestyle that I always want to enjoy. For generations past, the answer was not to play the markets but rather to invest in yourself.

[Potentially there is a far larger article here, contact us if you want to offer readers a $250 bonus and a similar reward for yourself] — Dean McClelland, Founder/CEO, Tontine Trust Europe KB Continue Reading…

Your 12 Good Years: Retirement Manifesto

Posted By Financial Independence Hub | April 10, 2026

By Dan Haylett and Fritz Gilbert, TheRetirementManifesto.com

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

On rare occasions, I read something so powerful I have to share it here.

Today is one such occasion.

Dan Haylett is one of my favorite writers, and a heckuva nice guy. His podcast, Humans vs. Retirement, is the #1 retirement podcast in the UK for good reason. (Sign up for his free weekly email here)

While his podcast is great, I can’t get enough of this guy’s writing. Every week, I read his email as soon as it arrives. Recently, he published “Your 12 Good Years” on his Substack feed. The following comment from a reader is indicative of how good it is:

“Maybe, if not probably, this is the best retirement article I’ve ever read.”

As soon as I read it, I asked Dan if he’d allow me to republish it here.

Fortunately, he said yes.

Prepare to be challenged by some of the best writing you’ll ever read, from one of the best minds in the business….

The healthy, active years you have left are shorter than you think Share on X

Your 12 Good Years

Here’s a number that should change how you think about retirement: 12.

Not 30. Not 25. Not even 20.

12.

That’s how long the average healthy 60-year-old has before their mobility, energy, and independence start to significantly decline. Not before they die… before life gets noticeably harder.

You might live to 90. You might even make it to 100. But the version of you that can hike the Inca Trail, chase grandchildren around a park, travel independently, or even just get through a full day without fatigue? That version has a shelf life.

And it’s shorter than you think.

The Data Nobody Wants to Hear

I want you to be clear about what I’m talking about here. This isn’t about morbidity or scaring you into action. This is about healthy life expectancy, the years you have before chronic illness, disability, or physical limitation becomes a daily reality.

In the UK, a 60-year-old man can expect to live, on average, to around 84. A 60-year-old woman to around 87. Those are the headline numbers. The ones that make retirement planning calculators tell you to prepare for 25-30 years.

But those numbers don’t tell you that most of those later years aren’t healthy years.

Data from the Office for National Statistics shows that healthy life expectancy (the years lived in good health without limiting illness or disability) ends much earlier. For someone who is 60 today, you’re looking at roughly 12-15 more years before health limitations start to intrude in meaningful ways.

That doesn’t mean you drop dead at 75. It means that by your early to mid-70s, things start to shift. Energy declines. Recovery from illness takes longer. Long-haul flights become less appealing. All-day adventures turn into half-day outings. The body you’ve been living in for six decades starts sending you clearer signals about what it will and won’t tolerate.

Research on retirement spending patterns backs this up. The Institute for Fiscal Studies found that retirees’ spending on travel and leisure increases through their 60s, peaks around age 75, and then declines, not because people run out of money, but because they run out of the physical capacity to do the things that money would buy.

You have more time than you have energy. More years than you have vitality. And if you don’t understand that distinction, you’ll waste the good years preparing for the declining ones.

What “Good Years” actually means

Let me be specific about what changes.

In your 60s and early 70s, if you’re reasonably healthy, you’re still you. You can travel. You can be spontaneous. You can handle long days. You can manage your own life without help. You have the energy to start new projects, learn new skills, and take on challenges.

You’re not invincible (you’re not 30), but you’re still fundamentally capable.

By your mid 70s and into your 80s, things shift. Not dramatically. Not all at once. But gradually, consistently, undeniably.

You might still travel, but not as far or as often. You might still be active, but you need more recovery time. You might still be independent, but you start needing help with things that used to be trivial, like changing a lightbulb, carrying heavy shopping, and navigating airports.

The things you do become smaller. More local. More cautious. Not because you’ve lost your spirit, but because your body has started setting the terms.

And this isn’t pessimism … it’s just biology. Muscle mass declines. Bone density decreases. Balance becomes less reliable. Chronic conditions accumulate. The resilience you took for granted starts to fray.

None of this means your later years are worthless or joyless. Many people find deep satisfaction and peace in their 80s and beyond. But they’re different years. Quieter. More reflective. Less physically expansive.

The good years, the ones where you still have the physical capacity to do most of what you want, are finite. And they’re shorter than the total lifespan numbers suggest.

The Spending and Activity Decline

Here’s where this gets practical.

One of the most robust findings in retirement research describes how retirees’ spending patterns change over time.

Spending is relatively high in the first few years of retirement, the “go-go years.” You’re active, you’re travelling, you’re finally doing all the things you deferred while working. Then it declines through the middle years, the “slow-go years,” as energy and interest naturally wane. And then it potentially rises a bit again in very late life, the “no-go years,” as healthcare and care costs may come into the equation.

But here’s what that misses … the decline in spending isn’t driven by frugality. It’s driven by physical limitation.

People in their late 70s and 80s aren’t spending less on holidays because they’ve suddenly become careful with money. They’re spending less because long-haul flights are exhausting. Because hotels without lifts are a problem. Because they don’t have the stamina for full days of sightseeing anymore.

The spending decline tracks the activity decline. And the activity decline tracks the erosion of those 12 good years.

The Trap of Deferral

The cruel irony is that most people spend the first decade of retirement living as they did in the last decade of work: carefully.

You saved for 40 years. You delayed gratification. You were prudent, responsible, cautious. And that got you here. It built the nest egg. It secured your future.

But if you keep living that way, you’ll waste the very years you saved for.

I see this constantly. Clients in their early 60s, financially secure, agonising over whether they can “afford” a holiday. Whether it’s “sensible” to upgrade the car. Whether they should help their grandchildren with something meaningful.

They’re optimising for a 30-year retirement. Planning as if every year is equivalent. Treating their 60s the same as their 80s.

But they’re not the same.

Your 60s are not a rehearsal for your 80s. They’re the main event. And if you don’t spend (not recklessly, but intentionally) during the years when you can still fully enjoy it, you’ll reach 78 with a big bank balance and a long list of regrets.

The things you can do at 65, you often can’t do at 75. The trip that sounds ambitious but achievable today might be off the table in a decade. The time with grandchildren while they’re young and you’re energetic doesn’t come back. Continue Reading…

Could Bitcoin fall to Zero, where this Crypto skeptic argues it belongs?

Posted By Financial Independence Hub | April 8, 2026

By Alain Guillot

Special to Financial Independence Hub

Every day that passes, Bitcoin gets closer to its true intrinsic value, which is $0.

During October 2025, it reached its highest delusional price of $126,198.07 USD. Today, it sits at $68,038.19 USD: approximately a 46% drop in about six months. And this is just the beginning.

Bitcoin is nothing more than a sophisticated pyramid scheme designed to take money from naive people who have seen too many get-rich-quick schemes on social media. It’s also a fantastic tool for terrorists, drug dealers, and money launderers who need to move money around.

The price of Bitcoin has been maintained by the “Greater Fool Theory.” Someone buys it because they think there is a greater fool willing to buy it later. But guess what? The world is running out of fools. It’s a huge turn-off when Bitcoin investors haven’t seen any gains during the past two years.

Bitcoin drops 46% in Six Months

The Trading Platforms are Bleeding Out

With the price decline of Bitcoin, fewer people are eager to trade it. That’s a bummer for companies that depend on gullible traders for their profits. The most obvious victims of this decline in Bitcoin trading are Coinbase and Robinhood.

Coinbase is down 54% during the last 6 month.

Coinbase operates much like an online stockbroker, except instead of stocks, users buy and sell crypto assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum.

It serves two main groups:

Retail investors using its app or website
Institutional clients such as hedge funds and asset managers

The company earns a large portion of its revenue by charging transaction fees every time someone buys or sells crypto.

This is the engine of the business, because people are trading less Crypto, the revenues are dropping quickly.

Robinhood, down 53% in part due to the decline of Bitcoin

Robinhood’s crypto business lets users buy and sell assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum directly in the app.

Unlike stocks:

Crypto trades are not routed via PFOF in the same way
Robinhood earns money through a spread (markup on buy/sell prices) and transaction-based revenue

The key point: crypto is a revenue amplifier

Crypto has historically contributed a large and highly variable share of Robinhood’s revenue:

In peak periods (like 2021), crypto generated 40%+ of transaction revenue
In quieter markets, it can fall to single digits

This makes crypto:

Not always the largest segment
But often the most volatile and cyclical driver

Why crypto matters so much to Robinhood

Robinhood’s user base skews:

younger
more speculative
more reactive to trends

Crypto trading fits that profile perfectly. When crypto heats up:

trading frequency spikes
new users join
dormant users return

When crypto declines:

engagement drops sharply
revenue contracts

When the price stops going up, the “get rich quick” crowd disappears. This creates a liquidity crisis that makes it harder for remaining holders to exit their positions without further crashing the market.

Michael Saylor’s Strategy: A Leveraged Nightmare

The most precarious domino in this collapse is Michael Saylor and his company, MicroStrategy. Saylor has famously bet his entire balance sheet on Bitcoin, but he didn’t just use cash: he used massive amounts of leverage.

The Strategy Math is Failing:

Average Cost: Strategy’s average purchase price is approximately $76,052.
Current Value: With Bitcoin trading near $68,000, Saylor is officially “underwater.”
The Collateral Problem: Strategy’s debt is secured by the Bitcoin itself. As the price drops, the value of his collateral shrinks.

If the Bitcoin price crash continues, Saylor will be forced to sell to meet debt obligations. Because his holdings are so massive, his forced selling would trigger a “death spiral,” flooding the market and tanking the price even further.

Strategy is now down 62% during the last 6 months. I be Michel Saylor is having some sleepless nights.

Five years of Underperformance

While “crypto bros” promised generational wealth, the data tells a different story. Over the last five years, Bitcoin has significantly underperformed the S&P 500.

Productivity vs. Speculation: Stocks represent companies that create value. Bitcoin creates nothing.
Criminal Utility: Bitcoin remains the preferred currency for tax evaders and cyber-criminals.

Why you must Get out Now

If you have any holdings in this asset class, the most rational move is to liquidate immediately. The history of financial manias shows that the final collapse happens much faster than the build-up.

Waiting for a “rebound” is a dangerous game when the largest holder in the world is facing a potential margin call. Decent people should stay away from an asset that benefits only the corrupt and leaves the average person in financial ruin.

Summary

The Bitcoin price crash is the natural conclusion of a speculative bubble that lacked fundamental utility. With Michael Saylor’s Strategy underwater and trading platforms in retreat, the floor is falling out.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Why is the Bitcoin price crashing in 2026? The crash is driven by a lack of new buyers, high interest rates, and the looming threat of forced liquidations from major holders like MicroStrategy.

Is Michael Saylor’s company going bankrupt? While not currently in bankruptcy, the company is “underwater” on its holdings, meaning the Bitcoin is worth less than what they paid for it, creating immense pressure on their debt.

Alain Guillot is a part-time blogger and solopreneur based in Quebec. After immigrating to the province, he struggled to find work due to his limited French, which pushed him to create his own path through entrepreneurship. That journey sparked a deep interest in personal finance and investing. Today, he lives a FIRE (Financial Independence, Retire Early) lifestyle and shares thoughtful, opinionated insights on his blog, AlainGuillot.com. This blog appeared first on his blog and is republished here with permission.